It has been about a month since Donald Trump became the presumptive Republican nominee for the President of the United States of America and it has been a rollercoaster ride. The polls have been see-sawing like crazy (as is expected at this point in the race), but the most recent ones are almost unanimous – Donald Trump is trailing Hillary Clinton by quite a margin.
Today, we will look at the reasons why Trump has recently been less than spectacular in the polls and what he has done over this last month to once again show the Democrats have nothing to fear, really.
First of all, just so we are not labeled as too biased, we will share a few of the latest polls with you. For instance, the Real Clear Politics Average, which is the most comprehensive indicator since it takes into consideration a number of the latest polls from different sources, has Clinton leading Trump by 6.4 points.
They used the following polls for their average: ABC News/Washington Post (+12 Clinton), NBC News/Wall St. Journal (+5 Clinton), Rasmussen reports (+5 Clinton) and Reuters/Ipsos (+10 Clinton). These are just the most recent polls while others also put Clinton ahead by between 2 and 12 points. If you want to read more about the different numbers, you should check out this great piece from Politico.
One thing cannot be denied – Trump’s campaign isn’t faring too well.
But how did Trump manage to bungle his numbers between his GOP victory and today?
To put things as simple as possible, he has just not made any smart moves in his campaign in June. Even when he thought he was hitting it out of the park, he was actually alienating everyone but his staunchest supporters who might have been enough to get him into the race, but who will not have the numbers to make him president.
One of his worst moves so far has been the way he handled the Orlando shooting, which is something we actually wrote about. Namely, instead of simply expressing his grief or letting the Democratic administration have it for not handling the whole situation much better, perhaps even preventing the tragedy.
Instead, Trump went on to boast how he was right about the Muslims and to reinforce his stance on the Muslim ban and that whole insanity. It was the perfect example of how Trump simply does not know how to handle certain sensitive moments.
He has also failed to ingratiate himself with the leading people from the GOP establishment, which has hurt him greatly in the money department. Namely, his campaign is seriously underfunded and a lot of it has to do with the fact that major GOP donors do not want to give money to someone who, in their view, is not a true GOP nominee. At a GOP summit organized by Mitt Romney, Trump was even compared with Mussolini and Hitler.
At the moment, he is also failing to properly understand the Brexit vote in Great Britain, which has initiated the UK’s departure from the European Union. Trump thinks it is a good thing that the British are leaving the union and that it is a good thing that, basically, xenophobia won in the UK.
It is, therefore, no surprise that Politico writes about no one wanting to speak at the Republican National Convention in July. According to their Republican insiders, no one is lining up for the microphone. This is a huge anomaly since it is at these conventions that politicians are often made. Moreover, they are saying they aren’t even interested in attending.
In the end, Trump is failing for the same reasons he won the GOP nominee race. He does not know politics. Whereas the Republican voters wanted someone like that because they were sickened by what their party’s establishment turned into, Trump is simply not a viable option for the position of the President of the United States.