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While 2016 may seem like a long way away, successful politics always involves planning far in advance. That is just one of the many reasons why both political parties are already talking about possible frontrunners for the 2016 race for the White House.
While it seems many Democrats are rallying around a possible 2016 Hillary Clinton campaign, the Republicans have yet to decide who their “savior” for the year will be. Rand Paul has emerged as a frontrunner; in fact, he handily won a recent CPAC straw poll with well over 30% of the vote.
However, mainstream Republicans consider his Tea Party affiliation and anti-war stance to be anathema. Chris Christie would be a great alternative for the “Grand Ol’ Party”; however, Bridgegate has taken a toll on his odds of winning, even though he has not ruled out a presidential run.
Given these facts, many Republicans have turned to a man that they would not have thought twice of several years ago. Jeb Bush, son of former president George H.W. Bush, and brother of former president George W. Bush, is now being feted as a frontrunner who stands a real chance of winning back the White House.
While Jeb has not formally announced that he will run, it seems that he is very seriously considering doing so. Whether he will in fact run, how long he will last and how many people would actually vote for him remains to be seen; however, one thing that can be said for certain is that a Jeb Bush Republican nomination would certainly make the race interesting.
Why Jeb Bush?
There are two main reasons why numerous influential Republicans are rallying around Jeb Bush. One reason is the fact that they are looking for a mainstream candidate, one who stands with vanguard Republicans rather than the Tea Party.
The other reason is the fact that they are looking for a way to win over Latinos, who now make up a large portion of the electorate, and who may very well prove to be a deciding factor in who gets to become the next President of the United States.
The GOP seems to expect that the fact that Jeb Bush is married to a woman of Mexican origin and speaks fluent Spanish would make him an instant favorite with Hispanic voters throughout the country.
What Stands in Jeb Bush’s Way?
Even if Jeb Bush were to win the Republican nomination, which is by no means guaranteed, despite the fact that his family has all the right connections, there is no guarantee that he would in fact win the presidency.
In fact, he has plenty of serious obstacles to overcome, perhaps one of the primary ones being the fact that a large portion of his own party strongly dislikes his stance on Common Core and immigration legislation. While his mainstream standing has the potential to entice independents to vote for him, it will alienate staunch Conservatives who may opt to stay home on Election Day.
Jeb’s last name will also work against him. Most people have bad memories of the time his brother ran the country and are not looking forward to a re-run of the same.
What is more, his wife was once stopped by Customs officials who caught her trying to smuggle in close to $20,000 of goods purchased in Paris. This will surely not resonate well with struggling Americans who are attempting to care for their families while still abiding by the country’s laws and regulations.
What will happen in 2016? No one knows yet, but it does seem likely that this will be the year that Jeb Bush decides to make a run for the nation’s top office. Such a run is sure to make election year even more interesting, as the GOP tries to create something resembling a united front in a desperate attempt to win back the White House.